If there was one message for defined benefit pension plan sponsor delegates at the 2022 Defined Benefit Investment Forum, it was that the fate of global markets in 2023 is on a knife’s edge.
In the keynote address, Douglas Porter, chief economist and managing director at BMO Financial Group, said he expects the Canadian economy will enter a short, shallow recession in 2023 — though he’s far from certain. As the Bank of Canada squeezes inflation, he projected a 25 per cent chance the country will enter a deeper, longer lasting recession — the same odds he gave the possibility of it getting through the year in positive territory.
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