In his guest analysis for the Inflation Risk Online Debate, Peter listed a signs pointing to the possibility of strong inflation, following an interim stage of deflation, over the next decade — with developed countries and emerging markets the lead actors in this economic play.
So, what is the outlook for inflation globally? Fairly mild for now – with a risk of temporary deflation. The deflation scenario may occur if emerging economies (with China leading the way) try to slow down inflation by doing too much tightening that will bring both growth and inflation to a halt.
What would this lead to? Join the debate to read Peter Lindley’s analysis.